Qué es el «fiscal cliff» de USA?
Basicamente, cuando hubo el debate sobre subir el techo de deuda de USA que le proporciono un downgrade por S&P, se decidio que en 2013 se aplicarian medidas para recortar el gasto, para compensar este incremento de la deuda.
A la vez en 2013 se terminan muchas ventajas fiscales, por lo tanto se espera que el consumo caiga en picado! Estas medidas reduciran el deficit en 500 mil millones de dolares, pero el crecimiento se vera afectado, como siempre pasa con las medidas de austeridad.
Incluso la economia podria entrar en recesion.
Para mi las acciones en USA, en general estan caras!
We’re now looking at a bigger surprise than the election. In fact, we’re careening toward the Fiscal Cliff, which is no joke. That’s when $7 trillion worth of tax increases and spending cuts go into effect – on January 1st. All seems calm now. But in the New Year, the markets could be cut in half and unemployment could double.
The rate of estate taxes goes back up to 55% as the limit falls to $1 million. Dividends will also become fully double-taxed again. But those things can be changed in a later negotiation, when the Republicans can put limits on tax deductions for housing, health insurance, charities and state and local taxes, all of which (if only limited, not eliminated) affect mainly upper-income voters.
Making dividends tax deductible for corporations (and keeping full tax for investors) would be the ideal corporate tax reform, because it would eliminate most corporate tax loopholes and force management to pay most earnings out to shareholders. But this negotiation could be done in a revenue-neutral way, since the deficit problem would be more or less solved.
Of course, people worry that the fiscal cliff would cause a recession, but why is that a problem?
We’re bound to have another recession before 2017 anyway, so the Democrats should want to get it over with.
For Republicans, a mild fiscal cliff recession, without an accompanying financial crisis, is a price well worth paying to solve the deficit problem. It will also provide a "learning experience" for the electorate on how government overspending damages the economy.
The slogan for 2013 is simple: No more free lunches!
You just can’t kick the can forever. Now is the time to deal with the fiscal cliff.