Obama vs Romney

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Obama vs Romney

Mensajepor Dalamar » 07 Nov 2012 05:38

Quien ha apollado a cada uno en las elecciones?
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Re: Obama vs Romney

Mensajepor Dalamar » 07 Nov 2012 06:36

A victory for current incumbent Barack Obama will buoy gold since the US Fed is expected to continue its measures to resurrect economy. On the other hand, the yellow metal can lose its lustre if Mitt Romney gets to enter the White House as he is a vehement critic of the current measures of the Obama Government.
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Re: Obama vs Romney

Mensajepor Dalamar » 07 Nov 2012 06:39

Investors should consider buying USD on an Obama victory in Tuesday elections assuming that the fear of a steeper fiscal cliff encourages deleveraging in high-beta FX, especially if the Republicans steal the Senate and in turn guarantee fiscal gridlock, says JP Morgan.

"Not only would this guarantee an acrimonious countdown to the fiscal cliff, it would also open up tensions over the next Chairman of the Fed and in turn undermine confidence in QE-forever," JPM adds.

Conversely, JPM advises its clients to sell USD on a Romney victory on relief that the cliff will be averted, but only if Congress remains divided.

"This is the best outcome for risk markets and the most negative for the dollar. This would limit the damage from the cliff without the threat to the Fed’s independence which a Republican clean-sweep would engender," JPM clarifies.
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Re: Obama vs Romney

Mensajepor Dalamar » 07 Nov 2012 06:47

Mitt Romney says Barack Obama’s policies will consign the U.S. to an extended period of sluggish economic growth, at best. The president says his Republican challenger’s plans will sow the seeds of another mammoth recession. Both are wrong.

No matter who wins the election tomorrow, the economy is on course to enjoy faster growth in the next four years as the headwinds that have held it back turn into tailwinds. Consumers are spending more and saving less after reducing household debt to the lowest since 2003. Home prices are rebounding after falling more than 30 percent from their 2006 highs. And banks are increasing lending after boosting equity capital by more than $300 billion since 2009.

“The die is cast for a much stronger recovery,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist in West Chester, Pennsylvania, for Moody’s Analytics Inc. He sees growth this year and next at about 2 percent before doubling to around 4 percent in both 2014 and 2015 as consumption, construction and hiring all pick up.


Visto en: washingtonpost
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Re: Obama vs Romney

Mensajepor Dalamar » 07 Nov 2012 07:02

Republicanos, democratas y la deuda:
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Re: Obama vs Romney

Mensajepor Dalamar » 07 Nov 2012 07:17

Segun J. Alfayate: http://accionesdebolsa.com/sectores-que ... omney.html

Los sectores más beneficiados en el caso de que ganara Obama serían:

    1) Renovables (DJUSEN – clasificado en petroleos y energía): Por la implicación de Obama en la mejora de la eficiencia, generación de fuentes alternativas y gestión de nuevas infraestructuras generadoras y eficientes.

    2) Salud y Biotech (DJUSHC): Sobre todo motivado por el “Obamacare” o planes para administrar un sistema de salud a todos los ciudadanos norteamericanos lo que implica más demanda de medicinas y servicios médicos.

    3) Seguros (DJUSIR): Sobre todo seguros de vida y de salud por el mencionado plan de salud de Obama.

Los sectores más beneficiados en el caso de que ganara Romney serían:

    1) Petroleras (DJUSEN): Sector cuidado por los sectores tradicionales por su alto rendimiento económico y alto interés nacional.

    2) Defensa y Aeroespacial (DJUSAE): Tradicionalmente los gobiernos federales republicanos aumentan los presupuestos de defensa e innovación con el fin de estar preparados frente a cualquier amenaza habida y por haber.

    3) Financieras (DJUSFI): Se espera una resolución del “fiscal cliff” o acantilado fiscal de EE.UU. con medidas que doten al sistema financiero de mejor salud.
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Re: Obama vs Romney

Mensajepor Dalamar » 07 Nov 2012 07:26

Visto en arabianbusiness:

Código: Seleccionar todo

Obama's projected victory will set the country's course for the next four years on spending, taxes, healthcare, the role of government and foreign policy challenges such as the rise of China and Iran's nuclear ambitions.

Each man offered different policies to cure what ails America's weak economy, with Obama pledging to raise taxes on the wealthy and Romney offering across-the-board tax cuts as a way to ignite strong economic growth.

Whether both sides will be able to come together and craft a compromise is an open question as Republican congressional leaders vow to stick to their pledges not to raise taxes on anyone.
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Re: Obama vs Romney

Mensajepor Dalamar » 07 Nov 2012 07:35

Obama: vs Romney
Position on the Economy:

Obama: Repeal Bush tax cuts for households earning more than $250,000. Lower taxes on manufacturing industry. Stimulus spending and tax cuts to grow the economy (short term). Cut spending and raise taxes on wealthy to reduce deficit (long term).

Romney: Make Bush tax cuts permanent. Lower corporate tax rate across the board to 25%. Cut taxes and regulations to encourage business. Cut "non-security discretionary [government] spending" by 5% to reduce deficit.

Position on Healthcare:

Obama: Signed the 2010 healthcare overhaul bill. Calls for patient protections like allowing coverage for pre-existing conditions, not letting insurers cancel policies when patients get sick, and requiring individuals to buy health insurance or pay a fine.

Romney: Created similar legislation in Mass. but believes it's not appropriate for all of USA and wants to repeal. Proposes encouraging individuals to purchase their own health insurance rather than via employers, and allowing insurance across state lines.

Position on Immigration:

Obama: Supports path to legalization for illegal immigrants that includes learning English & paying fines; toughen penalties for hiring illegal immigrants; voted for fence along Mexican border. Issued exec order to not deport certain undocumented immigrants

Romney: Would make English the official language of the US and "turn off the magnets like tuition breaks or other breaks that draw people into this country illegally". In favor of promoting legal immigration.

Position on Iraq:

Obama: Opposed invasion from the beginning; opposed troop increase; ended military operations in Iraq(on previously negotiated Bush timeline). Made no effort to keep promise to exit in 2009. Troops moved to Afghanistan and Iranian border.

Romney: Romney says that keeping the U.S. in Iraq is the best option for minimizing casualties and maintaining a democratic government in Iraq.

Position on Iran:

Obama: Engage in direct diplomacy; tighten economic sanctions with international cooperation; military option not off the table. Failed to deliver on 2008 campaign promise to meet with the Iranian president without preconditions.

Romney: Tighten economic sanctions; Military option not off the table.

Position on Global Warming and Environment:

Obama: Supports a mandatory cap-and-trade system to reduce carbon emissions. Delayed decision on northern leg of Keystone XL pipeline due to environmental concerns.

Romney: Opposes cap and trade legislation. Supports Keystone XL pipeline. Exporting carbon emissions to China hurts US and planet. (Aug 2007), Humans contribute to world getting warmer. (Nov 2011), $20 billion package for energy research & new car technology

Position on Indefinite detention:

Obama: Publicly opposed but debate on Congressional floor revealed that his Administration asked for language excluding American citizens.

Romney: Would have signed NDAA as is.

Position on Military Intervention:

Obama: Publicly opposed wars and intervention but has recently admitted to expanding Afghan conflict into Pakistan. Says Congressional approval not required if UN gives approval.

Romney: Consult with lawyers on legality but believes President has the right to do what he believes makes the country safer.

Position on Gay rights:

Obama: Supports same-sex marriage; pushed Congress to repeal Don't Ask, Don't Tell, allowing gays to serve openly in the military

Romney: Opposes same-sex marriage; supports legal unions; supports Don't Ask, Don't Tell but favors gays serving openly in the military(Govwatch 1994), supported ENDA to ban anti-gay employer discrimination

Position on Abortion:

Obama: Supports Roe v. Wade; criticized Supreme Court decision that upheld ban on partial-birth abortions.

Romney: Opposes Roe v. Wade; believes states should be allowed to ban abortions., 1994: Supported abortion rights but personally opposed, No punishment for women who have partial birth abortions, change of heart in 2005 when preparing to run for President
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Re: Obama vs Romney

Mensajepor Dalamar » 07 Nov 2012 07:41

Ayer nos decia Carpatos:

¡el mercado ya ha descontado que gana Obama! y se puede ver en esta web de Intrade, que es un mercado de apuestas sobre quién gana, donde a estas horas se da como ganador a Obama por nada menos que el 72%.

http://www.intrade.com/v4/misc/scoreboard/

Es decir, el mercado ya ha descontado por completo la reelección de Obama. Si gana, está descontado, si diera la sorpresa el candidato republicano, podría haber un rally, porque como hemos visto no está para nada descontado, y siempre fue el candidato preferido de la bolsa por las razones que sean.
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